Republican Medicaid reform proposals have thus far focused on converting federal funding from the current approach of proportional federal and state financing to either block grants or per capita caps. While these funding approaches may sound relatively straightforward, understanding the implications of such changes requires consideration of several factors.
In this paper, Milliman consultants break down the detailed considerations into two primary categories: initial benchmark development and annual growth rates. Defining the assumptions and methodologies used to establish benchmarks and growth rates is key to aligning service cost with funding under alternative federal financing for Medicaid. Without consideration of these concepts, the actual cost of Medicaid relative to the federal budget for Medicaid will begin to diverge, and the gap may become wider over time. As this theoretical funding gap emerges, states will be at increased risk for funding additional program cost.
The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission’s proposed modifications to the Part D federal reinsurance program could change the financial dynamics for Plan D plan sponsors, particularly if appropriate updates are not made to the risk score model. This paper by Milliman consultants David Liner and Nicholas Johnson outlines key considerations for plan sponsors as they prepare for proposed changes to the Part D program.
This article is part two of a two paper series. Read paper one about considerations for Part D stakeholders.
On December 18, 2015, the Senate Finance Committee released alternative policy options meant to improve the care of chronic conditions for Medicare beneficiaries. In this article, Milliman’s Michael Polakowski and Nicholas Johnson outline 24 proposals that may have a wide-ranging impact on traditional Medicare, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare accountable care organizations. These policies are still under consideration; the Finance Committee’s bipartisan chronic care working group is requesting feedback and comments by today.
The Medicare Payment Advisory Committee (MedPAC) has previously suggested changes to the Medicare Part D reinsurance and risk corridor program. But several factors—the current state of the Part D market, recent attempts to curtail Medicare spending, and large increases in reinsurance payments—may increase the likelihood that MedPAC and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) will implement changes to Part D. Putting these changes in place will not necessarily result in decreased program spending and could cause an increase in the prevalence of private-sector reinsurance in the Part D market. Milliman’s Nicholas Johnson provides perspective in this paper.