The group life and disability insurance sector has been slower to adopt predictive analytics than other lines of insurance. One reason for the sector’s lag is because insurers often have limited information on who they are insuring. However, there are still many ways to incorporate predictive modeling technology to improve results. Milliman consultant Jennifer Fleck provides some perspective in her article “Group insurance ‘Project Insight’.”
President Donald Trump’s 2018 budget proposal includes potential changes to several Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) programs. If approved, these changes could affect claimants, state agencies, insurance companies, and/or employers. The Milliman Insight article “President Trump’s budget proposal calls for disability changes” by Jennifer Fleck explores the financial and administrative implications related to the proposed changes for each of these groups.
Here is an excerpt:
It is not yet clear which of the proposed changes are likely to proceed nor which can be considered benefit cuts as opposed to administrative changes intended to manage the existing program more closely. However, the potential impact is significant for many different constituencies.
• Current claimants or applicants now waiting for their claim decisions could be affected through reduced retroactive payments, increased opportunities for rehabilitation, or potential shifting of the payer of their benefits.
• State agencies should pay close attention to the proposed changes as they could require additional services be performed at the state level.
• Insurance carriers could be required to pay additional benefits to private insurance claimants as costs are shifted. Currently, group insurers offset their payments for SSDI benefits, so reduced SSDI benefits will result in higher payments from insurance companies. This has the additional impact of raising premium rates for everyone who has group disability insurance.
• Employers could be affected by cost shifting of workers’ compensation benefit offsets or by being required to accommodate more employees returning to work from disability. Employers could also face the higher premium payments mentioned above or could have higher benefit costs directly if they self-insure. This could discourage employers from offering coverage, cause a shifting of the cost to the employees, or encourage them to offer lower benefit amounts. A benefit to employers could be a larger potential workforce to draw from.
The 2016 U.S. Group Disability Market Survey covers employer-paid and employee-paid short-term disability and long-term disability insurance products and includes an analysis of premiums, cases, and covered lives from new sales and in-force business in 2015 and 2016. Twenty disability insurance companies contributed to the 2016 survey. Milliman consultants Paul Correia and Jennifer Fleck offer some perspective.