Tag Archives: Ian McCulla

Medicaid managed care market penetration quadruples over past decade

Milliman has announced the availability of its annual research into the financial results and administrative expenses associated with Medicaid managed care plans. This year’s report marks the 10th edition of Milliman’s research, and combines the financial and administrative analysis into one comprehensive report, including an in-depth examination of Medicaid managed care plans’ medical loss ratios (MLRs), administrative loss ratios (ALRs), underwriting ratios (UW ratios), and risk-based capital (RBC) ratios. The information is of significant value to the Medicaid industry as enrollment and revenue continue to increase year-over-year.

Observing the changes that have occurred in the Medicaid managed care landscape over the last 10 years provides valuable insight into the makeup of the market. We have made enhancements to this year’s report that help to highlight the growth in this industry and the ebb and flow of experience over time.

Key findings from the analysis include:

• The average underwriting gain of 0.9% in calendar year (CY) 2017 remained relatively stable from the composite gains observed in CY 2016
• During the past 10 years of our analysis, the data studied for the report has seen a 250% growth in membership and over 400% growth in revenue for the studied Medicaid managed care programs
• Administrative expenses continue to increase on a per member per month (PMPM) basis, but decrease as a percentage of revenue has been observed from CY 2016 to CY 2017

To see the Medicaid administrative expenses report, click here.

Medicaid risk-based managed care: Analysis of administrative costs for 2016

In this report, Milliman consultants summarize calendar year 2016 administrative costs of organizations reporting Medicaid experience under the Title XIX Medicaid line of business on the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) annual statement. The primary purpose of the report is to provide reference and benchmarking information for certain key administrative expense categories used in the day-to-day analysis of Medicaid managed care organization (MCO) financial performance. It also explores the differences among various types of MCOs using available segmentation attributes defined from the reported financial statements.

“Mega Reg” rule mandates MLRs for Medicaid managed care programs

The Medicaid “Mega Reg” final rule now makes medical loss ratios (MLRs) a requirement for Medicaid managed care programs in every state. While the Medicaid MLR formula largely follows the commercial and Medicare Advantage formula, there are some key differences between the three. In this report, Milliman consultants discuss several issues that state agencies and managed care organizations need to consider in the development and completion of MLR reporting.

Webinar: Medical loss ratios in the Medicaid mega reg

Medical loss ratios (MLRs) will become a required part of financial reporting and prospective rate setting for Medicaid managed care programs in every state, effective for managed care contracts beginning on or after July 1, 2017. The creation of minimum MLR standards for Medicaid managed care follows the precedents set by the commercial health insurance market in 2011 and the Medicare Advantage (MA) market in 2014.

Join Milliman’s Ian McCulla, Scott Jones, and Jill Brostowitz for the webinar “Medical loss ratios in the Medicaid mega reg” on Friday, June 24, at 12 p.m. EST. They will discuss the release of the final Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) managed care rule (final rule). To register, click here.

Medicaid to pay more Medicare Part B costs

McCulla-IanPreliminary estimates suggest that Medicare Part B premiums and deductibles will increase for calendar year 2016. As a result, state Medicaid agencies may see sizeable increases in the Medicare Part B premiums and cost-sharing expenditures they pay on behalf of some dual eligibles. This NPR Marketplace article quotes Milliman’s Rob Damler discussing the disproportionate percentage of beneficiaries paying Part B’s costs.

Here is an excerpt:

…Two things tend to happen every year. First, Social Security benefits rise. Second, premiums for Medicare Part B — which covers inpatient treatment, the cost of doctors and certain drugs — also rise. But what makes this such an unusual year is that Social Security benefits are flat for 2016.

Robert Damler, an actuary with the consultant group Milliman, said that means a bunch of people by law are protected, or held harmless, from paying more for that Part B coverage.

“Seventy percent of the people will have zero percent increase, and then 30 percent of the population will have a 52 percent increase,” he said.

Given Medicare Part B enrollment, that’s like 15 million people picking up the tab for 50 million. Because many of the people facing increases are low-income, state Medicaid offices cover the premium hikes, which this year total $2.1 billion.

In this article, Damler and I explain the effect that several provisions from the Social Security Act are having on the current situation.

Two related requirements of Section 1839 of the Social Security Act have produced the current situation. In accordance with Section 1839, the revenue generated by Part B premiums is required to be 25% of the total cost of the program, which means that premiums rise and fall with the costs of the program, including normal adjustments for inflation. At the same time, another provision in Section 1839, known as the hold-harmless provision, precludes certain Social Security recipients from being required to pay more in Part B premium increases than their cost-of-living adjustment for that year.

Because the cost-of-living increase this year is expected to be 0%, anyone who pays Part B premiums through a deduction to his/her Social Security benefits must also see a commensurate 0% increase to those premiums. This affects about 70% of Medicare Part B beneficiaries. The remaining 30% are facing an increase in those premiums of 52% this year. This group includes higher income individuals who pay income-related premiums, individuals newly enrolled in Medicare Part B, and dual eligibles. Dual eligibles are not covered by the hold-harmless provision because they do not pay their Medicare Part B premiums through a reduction to their Social Security benefits; the premiums are paid on their behalf by Medicaid agencies.

The estimated higher than normal aggregate premium increase this year (15%) is related in part to passage of the Medicare Access and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) and Reauthorization Act of 2015 (MACRA), which revised some of the terms of Medicare physician reimbursement. In addition, evidence of higher than anticipated Medicare Part B program expenditures in 2014 and an increase in the healthcare cost trends projected by CMS contributed to the estimated increase.

Figure 1 illustrates a high-level estimate of the potential Medicare Part B premium increase that may be incurred by Medicaid programs nationwide. The calendar year 2016 estimated impact was developed from Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) 2013 reported expenditures. Therefore, the estimated increase is relative to a FFY 2013 expenditure basis.