A new study, “Improved Management Can Help Reduce the Burden of Type 2 Diabetes: A 20-Year Actuarial Projection,” was announced yesterday at the National Conference on Diabetes in Washington, DC. Here is an excerpt from the press release:
“The expected growth of type 2 diabetes in America and the resulting healthcare costs are alarming,” said Kathryn Fitch, a co-author of the study and principal and healthcare management consultant at Milliman. “We calculated that even modest improvements in diabetes control measures could reduce health complications, deaths and costs, particularly for the elderly.”
Milliman’s study estimated the impact of improving blood glucose, blood pressure and cholesterol control in type 2 diabetes patients. According to the report, fewer than two-thirds of patients meet the target ranges for any of these three measures (A1C <7%:49%; Systolic blood pressure <130:60%; LDL <100:39%)(1). The study found that reducing by half the number of people who are not meeting targets could, by 2031, reduce annual costs from diabetes-related complications by nearly $200 billion(2), reduce diabetes-related complications by 18 percent and reduce deaths from diabetes-related complications by 9 percent(3).
The study noted that the diabetes epidemic will continue to expand, and improving treatment and management practices are vital to reversing this trend. Over the next 20 years, type 2 diabetes cases outpace the growth of the U.S. population, to eventually affect 32 million patients (8.6 percent of the population)(4). With this jump in type 2 diabetes prevalence – and with people who have the disease expected to account for 15 percent of all national healthcare expenditures by 2031(5) – better patient management practices are urgently needed.
Here is the full study.