Tag Archives: Al Schmitz

CMS guidance presents Medicare Advantage plans with new LTC benefits considerations

In April, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) provided guidance for Medicare Advantage (MA) plans regarding the scope of the “primarily health related” supplemental benefit definition. The guidance clarified the types of long-term care (LTC) benefits that MA plans can provide as a supplemental benefit for individuals needing assistance with activities of daily living (ADLs) or instrumental ADLs (IADLs).

These plans face various challenges as they contemplate offering LTC coverage under the new CMS definition for primarily health related supplemental benefits. In this paper, Milliman’s Chris Giese and Al Schmitz examine some of these challenges and explain what MA plans must consider to make choices that benefit both plans and consumers.

Tax reform considerations for the LTC industry

What effects will the new tax reform law have on long-term care (LTC) insurance and other long-tailed health business? That is a question many actuaries are considering as they hurry to understand how it may affect these lines of business. In this article, Milliman’s Andrew Dalton and Al Schmitz provide an actuarial perspective concerning the immediate implications of the tax law. The authors also discuss how the law may alter the LTC marketplace broadly over the coming years.

Long-term care first principles modeling: Advantages and enhancements in modeling

This article by Milliman actuaries is the fourth in a series on long-term care (LTC) first principles modeling. The first article in the series, released in March 2016, introduced the topic and set the stage for the series of case study discussions that would follow. The second and third articles in the series, released in June 2016 and November 2016, examined the development of mortality and lapse assumptions, respectively, for use in an LTC first principles model. The latest article builds on these discussions with a look into how a first principles model, using these assumptions, can enhance and simplify the modeling of LTC projections. Once the groundwork of developing the key assumptions is completed, first principles models provide an improved platform for modeling by automating many processes and making refinements both easier to implement and more varied.

Long-term care first principles modeling: Lapse assumptions

In this article, Milliman consultants discuss issues related to developing healthy life lapse rates using a long-term care (LTC) first principles model. As noted throughout the article, the common assumption that the ultimate total life lapse rate reaches a constant level produces an increasing healthy life lapse rate by duration. Alternatively, if the healthy life lapse rate remains constant once it reaches an ultimate level, that would imply that the total life lapse rate continues to decrease over time. The article also examines how mortality and lapse assumptions interact and the importance that developing an appropriate mortality assumption can have on setting lapse rate assumptions.

Long-term care insurance valuation: An industry survey of assumptions and methodologies

Milliman consultants Al Schmitz, Daniel Nitz, Tim Kempen have published a long-term care (LTC) insurance valuation survey. The survey reviews and documents the assumptions and methodologies related to the determination and testing of active life and disabled life reserves as well as the asset strategies and investments backing the reserves.

To download the research report, click here.

Developing mortality assumptions for LTC first principles modeling

The development of separate mortality assumptions for healthy and disabled lives creates challenges for insurers using a long-term care (LTC) first principles model. In this article, Milliman actuaries discuss those challenges as well as their experience working with companies to overcome them. They also explore the advantages and opportunities of an enhanced approach to modeling mortality in a first principles context.