Estimates of how the COVID-19 pandemic will financially affect the healthcare sector continue to evolve. Recent attempts to quantify the impact signal the likelihood that, for 2020, the reduction in spending associated with deferred care will outweigh in aggregate the increase in spending required to care for patients with COVID-19. However, at an individual provider entity level, the change in spending will vary based on a multitude of factors such as geography, the nature of services provided, and the demographics of the population served.
What does this mean for the mutual financial responsibilities created through value-based contracts? In short, for any given provider organization, the impact of COVID-19 on its value-based contracts will depend largely on certain actuarial, legal, and strategic aspects of each agreement.
In this paper, Milliman’s Cory Gusland, Anders Larson, and Brian Sweatman discuss 10 key questions that providers should be asking as they assess each of their value-based contracts during this uncertain time.